Henrique Rocha vs Santiago Fa Rodriguez Taverna — Seville Round of 16
Rocha H.
Henrique Rocha faces Santiago Fa Rodriguez Taverna in the Seville round of 16 on clay. Henrique Rocha is the paper favourite — ranked #120, a roughly 340-point clay Elo advantage — but Santiago Fa Rodriguez Taverna rides a 3-match win streak.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 17:50 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Clear favourite · Rocha H. clearly ahead, but no certainty
Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Key context
- Form trend: Santiago Fa Rodriguez Taverna's form has been trending up over recent weeks, while Henrique Rocha's has cooled.
- Freshness: Workload contrast: Henrique Rocha 51 games in 14 days, Santiago Fa Rodriguez Taverna 75.
- Last match: Santiago Fa Rodriguez Taverna dropped the opening set before beating Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo 1–6 6–3 7–5.
Common opponents
Last 12 monthsUmpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (31 vs 15). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Serve vs return
This seasonEach player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Clutch
Under pressurePerformance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About
Freshness
Recent loadRocha H.: 1 day rest · 1 match, 22 games (7d) · Fa Rodriguez Taverna S.: 1 day rest · 3 matches, 75 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About
Conditions
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.