Simona Waltert vs Despina PapamichailMontreux Nestle Open - Montreux Round of 16

Montreux Nestle Open - Montreux · CHALLENGER · Round of 16
#89WTA
1670ELO
1654Clay ELO
25 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10
WLLLWLLLWW
Sets
Thursday, 10 September 2026 ·
clay
#188WTA
1475ELO
1447Clay ELO
33 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
WLWLLLWLLL
Waltert S.
vs
Papamichail D.

Simona Waltert faces Despina Papamichail in the Montreux Nestle Open - Montreux round of 16 on clay. Simona Waltert holds the paper edge — ranked #89, leading the head-to-head 1–0, a roughly 210-point clay Elo advantage.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 16:50 UTC
Waltert S.79%
Papamichail D.21%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Waltert S. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

Common opponents

Last 12 months
5 common opponents · Waltert S. 3–3 · Papamichail D. 1–5
Both lost · same surface, 41 days apart
Includes tour-level, 125s, qualifying and team events (⚑). Walkovers excluded. Describes past results in different contexts — not a prediction.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.7
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
5.1
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
7.6+207 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
2.4Clay Elo 1447
7.4Overall Elo 1670
ELO gap
2.6Overall Elo 1475
7.0Leads 1–0 on clay
H2H
3.0Trails 0–1 on clay
5.66 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
4.85 of last 10 on clay
Fatigue & Travel
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

41 vs 29 matches

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
62%
72%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
62%
54%
2nd serve points won·Even
46%
45%
Service points won·Even
56%
52%
Return points won·Even
45%
46%
Break points saved·Slight edge
55%
49%
Aces / match·Slight edge
1.6
0.5
Double faults / match·Dominant
3.9
1.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (41 vs 29). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Waltert S.serving43% hold

wins 47% of points on serve vs Papamichail D.

Papamichail D.serving36% hold

wins 44% of points on serve vs Waltert S.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
78
34
Break points saved·Dominant
79
16
Break points won·Even
94
92
Deciding sets·Clear edge
80
59
Tiebreaks·Dominant
85
60

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
72
78

Waltert S.: 1 day rest · 1 match, 30 games (7d) · Papamichail D.: 2 days rest · 1 match, 32 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Head to head

10
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2019-04-27W15 Cairo 2SFclaySimona Waltert3-6 6-3 6-3

Draw