Juan Manuel La Serna vs Lukas Neumayer — Tulln Round of 16
La Serna J.
Juan Manuel La Serna faces Lukas Neumayer in the Tulln round of 16 on clay. Lukas Neumayer is the paper favourite — ranked #191, a roughly 150-point clay Elo advantage — but Juan Manuel La Serna arrives in form, winning 4 of their last 7 on clay to Lukas Neumayer's 3.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 15:50 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Toss-up · Too close to call
Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Key context
- Freshness: Juan Manuel La Serna comes in with 1 days of rest and 113 games in 14d, vs Lukas Neumayer's 1 and 36.
- Last match: Lukas Neumayer dropped just 6 games past Svyatoslav Gulin.
- Surface form: Juan Manuel La Serna 4 of 7, Lukas Neumayer 3 of 7 on clay recently — Juan Manuel La Serna the sharper of late.
Common opponents
Last 12 monthsUmpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (27 vs 31). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Serve vs return
This seasonEach player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Freshness
Recent loadLa Serna J.: 1 day rest · 3 matches, 71 games (7d) · Neumayer L.: 1 day rest · 1 match, 18 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About
When it starts
2nd on CENTER COURT · Followed By · 1 match still to finish ahead
- 1Misolic F. v Brunold M.
- 2La Serna J. v Neumayer L.This match
Conditions
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.