Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg vs Mark LajalCassis Round of 16

Cassis · CHALLENGER · Round of 16
#332ATP
1413ELO
1393Hard ELO
23 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
WLWWLLWLWL
Sets
Thursday, 10 September 2026 ·
hard
#152ATP
1589ELO
1556Hard ELO
23 yrs · 191 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
WLWWWWWLLW
Gueymard Wayenburg S.
vs
Lajal M.

Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg faces Mark Lajal in the Cassis round of 16 on hard. Mark Lajal holds the paper edge — ranked #152, a roughly 160-point hard Elo advantage. Recent hard form is closely matched.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 16:50 UTC
Gueymard Wayenburg S.27%
Lajal M.73%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Lajal M. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

Common opponents

Last 12 months
No common opponents in the last 12 months.
Includes tour-level, 125s, qualifying and team events (⚑). Walkovers excluded. Describes past results in different contexts — not a prediction.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.4
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
7.2
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
3.0Hard Elo 1393
Surface ELO
7.0+163 Hard Elo edge
2.8Overall Elo 1412
ELO gap
7.2Overall Elo 1588
3.0Trails 0–1 on hard
H2H
7.0Leads 1–0 on hard
5.35 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
7.27 of last 10 on hard
Fatigue & Travel
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

26 vs 19 matches

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
63%
60%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
69%
74%
2nd serve points won·Even
48%
48%
Service points won·Even
62%
64%
Return points won·Even
39%
36%
Break points saved·Clear edge
58%
70%
Aces / match·Even
6.9
6.4
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.8
3.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (26 vs 19). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Gueymard Wayenburg S.serving83% hold

wins 65% of points on serve vs Lajal M.

Lajal M.serving82% hold

wins 64% of points on serve vs Gueymard Wayenburg S.

Even serve battle

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
10
43
Break points saved·Dominant
63
89
Break points won·Slight edge
20
13
Deciding sets·Dominant
5
42
Tiebreaks·Dominant
27
81

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
77
60

Gueymard Wayenburg S.: 1 day rest · 2 matches, 38 games (7d) · Lajal M.: 1 day rest · 5 matches, 108 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather forecast
27°CClear
Wind 17 km/hHumidity 32%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Draw