Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini vs Kirill KivattsevM15 Budapest Round of 16

M15 Budapest · ITF · Round of 16
#1175ATP
20 yrs
Last 10
WWWLWWLLWW
Sets
Thursday, 10 September 2026 ·
clay
#574ATP
28 yrs · 193 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
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Costanzo Baragiola Mordini T.
vs
Kivattsev K.

Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini faces Kirill Kivattsev in the M15 Budapest round of 16 on clay. Kirill Kivattsev is the paper favourite — ranked #574 — but Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini arrives in form, winning 7 of their last 10 on clay to Kirill Kivattsev's 5.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 03:50 UTC
Costanzo Baragiola Mordini T.30%
Kivattsev K.70%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Kivattsev K. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

Common opponents

Last 12 months
No common opponents in the last 12 months.
Includes tour-level, 125s, qualifying and team events (⚑). Walkovers excluded. Describes past results in different contexts — not a prediction.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
4.3
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
4.3
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
Surface form
3.63 of last 10 on clay
0.0
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

6 vs 5 matches

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
62%
72%
1st serve points won·Even
68%
64%
2nd serve points won·Clear edge
32%
51%
Service points won·Slight edge
54%
60%
Return points won·Even
42%
40%
Break points saved·Slight edge
47%
53%
Aces / match·Clear edge
0.8
2.8
Double faults / match·Dominant
12.0
2.2

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (6 vs 5). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season

wins 53% of points on serve vs Kivattsev K.

Kivattsev K.serving64% hold

wins 56% of points on serve vs Costanzo Baragiola Mordini T.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Conditions

Weather forecast
22°COvercast
Wind 15 km/hHumidity 52%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Draw