Carel Aubriel Ngounoue vs R. Jones — M15 Monastir Round of 16
M15 Monastir · ITF · Round of 16
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Sets
Thursday, 10 September 2026 ·
hard
Aubriel Ngounoue C.vs
Jones R.
Carel Aubriel Ngounoue faces R. Jones in the M15 Monastir round of 16 on hard. R. Jones brings the better recent hard form (5 of 7).
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 22:50 UTCAubriel Ngounoue C.19%
Jones R.81%
Toss-up
50–58%
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+
80%+
Strong favourite · Jones R. heavily favoured
Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Key context
- Last match: R. Jones dropped just 6 games past Nicolas Jadoun.
- Surface form: Carel Aubriel Ngounoue 3 of 7, R. Jones 5 of 7 on hard recently — R. Jones the sharper of late.
- Fatigue load: Carel Aubriel Ngounoue carries the heavier recent load — 1 three-setter to 0 in the past fortnight.
Common opponents
Last 12 monthsNo common opponents in the last 12 months.
Includes tour-level, 125s, qualifying and team events (⚑). Walkovers excluded. Describes past results in different contexts — not a prediction.
Umpiry Score
Pre-match6.0
Even matchUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited5.6
Slight disadvantageUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limitedForm & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H5.0No prior meetings
Win streak
0.0
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts5.0Didn't play here last year
The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
2 matches
Statistics
This season1st serve in·
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73%
1st serve points won·
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73%
2nd serve points won·
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75%
Service points won·
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73%
Return points won·
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52%
Break points saved·
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100%
Aces / match·
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4.5
Double faults / match·
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0.0
Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window. ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Conditions
Weather forecast
33°CPartly cloudy
Wind 11 km/hHumidity 62%
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.