Calvin Hemery vs Dusan LajovicSeville Round of 16

Seville · CHALLENGER · Round of 16
#328ATP
1439ELO
1449Clay ELO
31 yrs · 191 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
WLWLLWWLWL
Sets
Thursday, 10 September 2026 ·
clay
#167ATP
1620ELO
1588Clay ELO
36 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
WLWWLWWLWL
Hemery C.
vs
Lajovic D.

Calvin Hemery faces Dusan Lajovic in the Seville round of 16 on clay. Dusan Lajovic holds the paper edge — ranked #167, leading the head-to-head 1–0, a roughly 140-point clay Elo advantage.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 17:50 UTC
Hemery C.40%
Lajovic D.60%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Lajovic D. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

Common opponents

Last 12 months
No common opponents in the last 12 months.
Includes tour-level, 125s, qualifying and team events (⚑). Walkovers excluded. Describes past results in different contexts — not a prediction.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.4
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
6.6
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
3.3Clay Elo 1449
Surface ELO
6.7+139 Clay Elo edge
2.7Overall Elo 1439
ELO gap
7.3Overall Elo 1620
5.0First meeting on clay
H2H
5.0First meeting on clay
5.25 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
4.85 of last 10 on clay
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

28 vs 30 matches

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
64%
68%
1st serve points won·Even
74%
70%
2nd serve points won·Even
51%
52%
Service points won·Even
65%
64%
Return points won·Even
35%
37%
Break points saved·Even
60%
57%
Aces / match·Clear edge
5.9
4.2
Double faults / match·Dominant
3.6
1.6

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (28 vs 30). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Hemery C.serving81% hold

wins 64% of points on serve vs Lajovic D.

Lajovic D.serving83% hold

wins 65% of points on serve vs Hemery C.

Even serve battle

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
13
43
Break points saved·Dominant
35
87
Break points won·Even
14
18
Deciding sets·Dominant
31
58
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
91
69

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
84
86

Hemery C.: 2 days rest · 2 matches, 36 games (7d) · Lajovic D.: 1 day rest · 1 match, 16 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast
Weather forecast
30°CMainly clear
Wind 10 km/hHumidity 51%

Head to head

01
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2015-07-27GstaadR32clayDusan Lajovic7-5 6-2

Draw