Fiona Ferro vs Barbora PalicovaMontreux Nestle Open - Montreux Round of 16

Montreux Nestle Open - Montreux · CHALLENGER · Round of 16
#141WTA
1662ELO
1605Clay ELO
29 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
WWWWWWLLWW
Sets
Thursday, 10 September 2026 ·
clay
#200WTA
1380ELO
1374Clay ELO
22 yrs · 168 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
WWWWWWLLWW
Ferro F.
vs
Palicova B.

Fiona Ferro faces Barbora Palicova in the Montreux Nestle Open - Montreux round of 16 on clay. Fiona Ferro holds the paper edge — ranked #141, a roughly 230-point clay Elo advantage. Recent clay form is closely matched. They have met 2 times, the series level at 1–1.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 16:50 UTC
Ferro F.76%
Palicova B.24%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Ferro F. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

  • Last match: Barbora Palicova dropped the opening set before beating Alice Tubello 3–6 6–4 6–1.
  • Head-to-head: The head-to-head is level 1–1. Last met at W75 Hechingen 2026.
  • Fatigue load: Both played two three-setters in the past fortnight — neither arrives fresh.

Common opponents

Last 12 months
No common opponents in the last 12 months.
Includes tour-level, 125s, qualifying and team events (⚑). Walkovers excluded. Describes past results in different contexts — not a prediction.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
7.0
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
5.1
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
7.9+232 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
2.1Clay Elo 1374
8.5Overall Elo 1662
ELO gap
1.5Overall Elo 1380
3.0Trails 0–1 on clay
H2H
7.0Leads 1–0 on clay
6.56 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
4.34 of last 10 on clay
Fatigue & Travel
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

41 vs 31 matches

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
68%
60%
1st serve points won·Even
59%
61%
2nd serve points won·Even
48%
44%
Service points won·Even
56%
54%
Return points won·Slight edge
48%
43%
Break points saved·Slight edge
59%
51%
Aces / match·Even
1.2
1.3
Double faults / match·Dominant
1.7
4.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (41 vs 31). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Ferro F.serving50% hold

wins 50% of points on serve vs Palicova B.

Palicova B.serving34% hold

wins 43% of points on serve vs Ferro F.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
88
80

Ferro F.: 1 day rest · 1 match, 19 games (7d) · Palicova B.: 1 day rest · 1 match, 26 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Head to head

11
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-08-02W75 HechingenFclayBarbora Palicova5-7 7-5 6-4
2023-04-21W60 BellinzonaQFclayFiona Ferro6-3 7-6(6)

Draw