Nicolai Budkov Kjaer vs Yanis Ghazouani Durand — Cassis Round of 16
Budkov Kjaer N.
Nicolai Budkov Kjaer faces Yanis Ghazouani Durand in the Cassis round of 16 on hard. Nicolai Budkov Kjaer is the paper favourite — ranked #149 — but Yanis Ghazouani Durand rides a 3-match win streak.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 16:50 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Clear favourite · Budkov Kjaer N. clearly ahead, but no certainty
Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Key context
- Freshness: Workload contrast: Nicolai Budkov Kjaer 58 games in 14 days, Yanis Ghazouani Durand 90.
- Form trend: Yanis Ghazouani Durand's form has been trending up over recent weeks, while Nicolai Budkov Kjaer's has cooled.
- Last match: Yanis Ghazouani Durand dropped the opening set before beating Maxime Janvier 2–6 6–3 7–5.
Common opponents
Last 12 monthsUmpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (33 vs 12). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Serve vs return
This seasonEach player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Freshness
Recent loadBudkov Kjaer N.: 1 day rest · 2 matches, 36 games (7d) · Ghazouani Durand Y.: 1 day rest · 3 matches, 62 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About
Conditions
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.