Jie Cui vs Yi ZhouShanghai Round of 16

Shanghai · CHALLENGER · Round of 16
Jie Cui
CHNWC
#454ATP
1383ELO
1354Hard ELO
28 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
WLLWWLWLLL
Sets
Thursday, 10 September 2026 ·
hard
CENTER COURT · 2nd on
#248ATP
1456ELO
1445Hard ELO
21 yrs · 193 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
WLLLWLWLWW
Cui J.
vs
Zhou Y.

Jie Cui faces Yi Zhou in the Shanghai round of 16 on hard. Yi Zhou is the paper favourite — ranked #248, a roughly 90-point hard Elo advantage — but Jie Cui arrives in form, winning 4 of their last 7 on hard to Yi Zhou's 3.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 16:50 UTC
Cui J.35%
Zhou Y.65%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Zhou Y. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

Common opponents

Last 12 months
No common opponents in the last 12 months.
Includes tour-level, 125s, qualifying and team events (⚑). Walkovers excluded. Describes past results in different contexts — not a prediction.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.6
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
6.2
Even matchUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
3.9Hard Elo 1354
Surface ELO
6.1+91 Hard Elo edge
4.1Overall Elo 1383
ELO gap
5.9Overall Elo 1456
3.6Trails 1–2 on hard
H2H
6.4Leads 2–1 on hard
5.15 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
4.04 of last 10 on hard
Fatigue & Travel
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

12 vs 20 matches

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
63%
62%
1st serve points won·Even
68%
72%
2nd serve points won·Even
51%
50%
Service points won·Even
62%
64%
Return points won·Even
36%
37%
Break points saved·Even
59%
63%
Aces / match·Clear edge
3.9
6.3
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.3
2.6

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (12 vs 20). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Cui J.serving82% hold

wins 64% of points on serve vs Zhou Y.

Zhou Y.serving86% hold

wins 67% of points on serve vs Cui J.

Serve advantage — Zhou Y.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
0
13
Break points saved·Dominant
31
87
Break points won·Even
11
13
Deciding sets·Clear edge
16
1
Tiebreaks·Even
10
14

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
83
78

Cui J.: 1 day rest · 1 match, 22 games (7d) · Zhou Y.: 1 day rest · 1 match, 25 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

When it starts

2nd on CENTER COURT · Not Before 4:30 PM · 1 match still to finish ahead

  1. 1Tomic B. v Ivashka I.
  2. 2Cui J. v Zhou Y.This match
  3. 3Lin Wu T. v Castelnuovo L.

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather forecast
29°COvercast
Wind 10 km/hHumidity 49%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Draw