Miguel Tobon vs Edas Butvilas — Istanbul Round of 16
Tobon M.
Miguel Tobon faces Edas Butvilas in the Istanbul round of 16 on hard. Edas Butvilas holds the paper edge — ranked #195, a roughly 200-point hard Elo advantage.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 00:50 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Clear favourite · Butvilas E. clearly ahead, but no certainty
Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Key context
- Freshness: Workload contrast: Miguel Tobon 52 games in 14 days, Edas Butvilas 103.
- Last match: Miguel Tobon dropped just 6 games past Koray Kirci.
- Surface form: Miguel Tobon 5 of 10, Edas Butvilas 8 of 10 on hard recently — Edas Butvilas the sharper of late.
Common opponents
Last 12 monthsUmpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (21 vs 37). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Serve vs return
This seasonEach player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Freshness
Recent loadTobon M.: 1 day rest · 1 match, 18 games (7d) · Butvilas E.: 1 day rest · 3 matches, 86 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About
When it starts
1st on CENTER COURT · Starts At 10:00 · up next on court
- 1Tobon M. v Butvilas E.This match
- 2Hamza Reguig S. v Dylan Hara Friend J.
Conditions
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.