Lucija Ciric Bagaric vs Lucie Havlickova — Montreux Nestle Open - Montreux Round of 16
Ciric Bagaric L.
Lucija Ciric Bagaric faces Lucie Havlickova in the Montreux Nestle Open - Montreux round of 16 on clay. Lucie Havlickova is the paper favourite — ranked #226, leading the head-to-head 1–0, a roughly 210-point clay Elo advantage — but Lucija Ciric Bagaric rides a 3-match win streak. Recent clay form is closely matched.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 16:50 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Slight edge · Havlickova L. narrowly ahead
Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Key context
- Head-to-head: Lucie Havlickova leads the head-to-head 1–0; this is their first meeting on clay. Last met at W35 Liberec 1 2025.
- Fatigue load: Lucija Ciric Bagaric carries the heavier recent load — 1 three-setter to 0 in the past fortnight.
- Win streak: Lucija Ciric Bagaric arrives on a 3-match winning run.
Common opponents
Last 12 monthsUmpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (31 vs 27). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Serve vs return
This seasonEach player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Freshness
Recent loadCiric Bagaric L.: 1 day rest · 3 matches, 69 games (7d) · Havlickova L.: 1 day rest · 1 match, 20 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About
Head to head
0–1| Date | Tournament | Round | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-05 | W35 Liberec 1 | R32 | hard | Lucie Havlickova | 6-2 6-0 |