Enzo Aguiard vs Ilia SimakinPhan Thiet 3 Round of 16

Phan Thiet 3 · CHALLENGER · Round of 16
#513ATP
24 yrs
Last 10
WLWWWWLWWW
Sets
Thursday, 10 September 2026 ·
hard
COURT B · 1st on
#275ATP
1463ELO
1505Hard ELO
22 yrs · 193 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
WWWWWWLWWW
Aguiard E.
vs
Simakin I.

Enzo Aguiard faces Ilia Simakin in the Phan Thiet 3 round of 16 on hard. Ilia Simakin holds the paper edge — ranked #275. Recent hard form is closely matched.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 18:50 UTC
Aguiard E.25%
Simakin I.75%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Simakin I. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

Common opponents

Last 12 months
No common opponents in the last 12 months.
Includes tour-level, 125s, qualifying and team events (⚑). Walkovers excluded. Describes past results in different contexts — not a prediction.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.4
Marginal edgeUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
7.1
Strong advantageUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
Form & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
6.56 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
9.29 of last 10 on hard
Win streak
9.06-match win streak
Fatigue & Travel
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
3-set count
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

7 vs 23 matches

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
61%
62%
1st serve points won·Even
76%
72%
2nd serve points won·Even
50%
52%
Service points won·Even
65%
64%
Return points won·Even
36%
38%
Break points saved·Even
64%
65%
Aces / match·Even
7.4
6.9
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.3
2.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (7 vs 23). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Aguiard E.serving84% hold

wins 66% of points on serve vs Simakin I.

Simakin I.serving86% hold

wins 67% of points on serve vs Aguiard E.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
74
52

Aguiard E.: 5 days rest · 2 matches, 46 games (7d) · Simakin I.: 1 day rest · 5 matches, 119 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Weather forecast
31°COvercast
Wind 17 km/hHumidity 65%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Draw