R. Minakata vs Y. Tomida — M15 Wuning Round of 32

M15 Wuning · ITF · Round of 32
JPNQ
R. Minakata
Last 10 · pre-match
WWLWLWLWLL
0 — 2
Sets
Wednesday, 9 September 2026 ·
hard
JPN3
Y. Tomida
#999ATP
19 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWWLLL
Minakata R.
4-6 4-6
Tomida Y.
Minakata R.
440
Tomida Y.
662

Y. Tomida defeated R. Minakata in the Round of 32 at the M15 Wuning tournament. The match ended with a straight-sets victory for Tomida, 6-4, 6-4. Tomida hit one ace and one double fault, while converting 50% of break points and securing three service breaks to Minakata's one.

Generated automatically from Umpiry match data.

Key context

  • Match story: Y. Tomida edged a tight contest from start to finish — 6–4 6–4.

Head to head

0–1
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-07-15M15 Wuning 6R32hardY. Tomida6-3 2-6 5-7

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 05:50 UTC
Minakata R.25%
Tomida Y.75%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Tomida Y. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Minakata R.
4.6
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Tomida Y.
6.1
Even matchUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
Form & Matchup
3.0Trails 0–1 on hard
H2H
7.0Leads 1–0 on hard
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Conditions

Weather
27°CMainly clear
Wind 17 km/hHumidity 60%

Draw