Finn Murgett vs Diogo MarquesM25 Sintra Round of 32

M25 Sintra · ITF · Round of 32
#915ATP
24 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWLLWWW
2 — 1
Sets
Wednesday, 9 September 2026 ·
hard
#1272ATP
27 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLWLLWLL
Murgett F.
6-7 6-2 6-0
Marques D.
Murgett F.
65662
Marques D.
77201

Finn Murgett defeated Diogo Marques in the Round of 32 at the M25 Sintra tournament. The match ended with a score of 6-7, 6-2, 6-0 in favor of Murgett. Murgett converted 50% of his break points and secured 8 service breaks, compared to Marques' 20% conversion rate and 3 service breaks.

Generated automatically from Umpiry match data.

Key context

Head to head

10
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-06-26M25 Elvas 1R16hardFinn Murgett6-7(3) 6-2 6-4

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·
57%
1st serve points won·
66%
2nd serve points won·
46%
Service points won·
57%
Return points won·
41%
Break points saved·
44%
Aces / match·
3.0
Double faults / match·
3.5

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window. ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 08:50 UTC
Murgett F.77%
Marques D.23%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Murgett F. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.7
Slight disadvantageUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
4.8
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
Form & Matchup
7.0Leads 1–0 on hard
H2H
3.0Trails 0–1 on hard
Surface form
2.11 of last 6 on hard
0.0
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
7.0Grass → Hard
Surface transition
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Conditions

Weather
22°CMainly clear
Wind 21 km/hHumidity 59%

Draw