Maximus Jones vs Hiroki MoriyaPhan Thiet 3 Round of 16

Phan Thiet 3 · CHALLENGER · Round of 16
#489ATP
1348ELO
1322Hard ELO
22 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WLWWLLWWWL
0 — 2
Sets
Wednesday, 9 September 2026 ·
hard
Center Court · 1st on
#518ATP
1353ELO
1321Hard ELO
35 yrs · 168 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WLWWLWLLLL
Jones M.
3-6 6-7
Moriya H.
Jones M.
3640
Moriya H.
6772

Hiroki Moriya defeated Maximus Jones in the Round of 16 at the Phan Thiet 3 hard-court tournament. The match ended with a score of 6-3, 7-6 in Moriya's favor.

Generated automatically from Umpiry match data.

Key context

  • Match story: Hiroki Moriya closed it out in two sets, 6–3 7–6.

Head to head

01
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2023-06-14M25 Nakhon Si Thammarat 1R32hardHiroki Moriya6-3 7-6(5)

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
61%
58%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
72%
67%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
46%
52%
Service points won·Even
62%
61%
Return points won·Even
37%
40%
Break points saved·Slight edge
65%
57%
Aces / match·Dominant
5.6
2.1
Double faults / match·Even
3.1
3.1

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (21 vs 27). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 05:50 UTC
Jones M.58%
Moriya H.42%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.0
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
5.9
Even matchUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
5.0+1 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
5.0Hard Elo 1321
4.9Overall Elo 1348
ELO gap
5.1Overall Elo 1353
5.0First meeting on hard
H2H
5.0First meeting on hard
5.25 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
4.64 of last 10 on hard
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
70
76

Jones M.: 1 day rest · 2 matches, 44 games (7d) · Moriya H.: 2 days rest · 1 match, 25 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Weather
28°CShowers
Wind 24 km/hHumidity 79%

Draw