Rio Noguchi vs Omar JasikaShanghai Round of 16

Shanghai · CHALLENGER · Round of 16
#219ATP
1532ELO
1513Hard ELO
27 yrs · 168 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WLLWLWWLWW
0 — 2
Sets
Wednesday, 9 September 2026 ·
hard
Court 5 · 1st on
#408ATP
1296ELO
1272Hard ELO
29 yrs · 183 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWLWWLWWWW
Noguchi R.
2-6 5-7
Jasika O.
Noguchi R.
250
Jasika O.
672

Omar Jasika defeated Rio Noguchi in the Round of 16 at the Shanghai hard-court tournament, winning 6-2, 7-5. Jasika converted 57% of his break points and secured four service breaks, compared to Noguchi's one. Jasika also hit one ace and committed one double fault, while Noguchi had none of either.

Generated automatically from Umpiry match data.

Key context

  • Match story: Omar Jasika closed it out in two sets, 6–2 7–5.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
68%
69%
1st serve points won·Even
65%
63%
2nd serve points won·Even
48%
50%
Service points won·Even
60%
59%
Return points won·Slight edge
43%
37%
Break points saved·Even
57%
53%
Aces / match·Slight edge
1.0
1.9
Double faults / match·Slight edge
1.9
2.2

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (28 vs 20). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
23
0
Break points saved·Clear edge
25
47
Break points won·Clear edge
26
13
Deciding sets·Dominant
82
12
Tiebreaks·Even
4
1

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 06:50 UTC
Noguchi R.67%
Jasika O.33%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Noguchi R. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
7.0
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
4.2
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
8.0+241 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
2.0Hard Elo 1272
7.9Overall Elo 1532
ELO gap
2.1Overall Elo 1296
5.0First meeting on hard
H2H
5.0First meeting on hard
5.66 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
5.75 of last 10 on hard
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
86
72

Noguchi R.: 2 days rest · 1 match, 21 games (7d) · Jasika O.: 1 day rest · 2 matches, 37 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather
26°COvercast
Wind 17 km/hHumidity 53%

Draw