Kayla Day vs Elsa JacquemotKia Open - Barranquilla Round of 16

Kia Open - Barranquilla · CHALLENGER · Round of 16
#117WTA
1595ELO
1576Hard ELO
$261kYTD
$1.6MCAREER
26 yrs · 173 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WLLWWWLWWL
0 — 2
Sets
Thursday, 10 September 2026 ·
hard
#114WTA
1611ELO
1581Hard ELO
$663kYTD
$2.3MCAREER
23 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLLLLLW
Day K.
6-7 2-6
Jacquemot E.
Day K.
6320
Jacquemot E.
7762

Elsa Jacquemot defeated Kayla Day in the Round of 16 at the Kia Open - Barranquilla. The match ended with a score of 7-6, 6-2 in favor of Jacquemot. Neither player recorded an ace, a double fault, or a service break during the match.

Generated automatically from Umpiry match data.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
67%
63%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
67%
62%
2nd serve points won·Clear edge
48%
36%
Service points won·Slight edge
61%
52%
Return points won·Slight edge
47%
40%
Break points saved·Slight edge
59%
49%
Aces / match·Even
3.4
2.9
Double faults / match·Dominant
2.3
6.2

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (44 vs 27). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
39
33
Break points saved·Slight edge
66
75
Break points won·Slight edge
88
93
Deciding sets·Even
18
17
Tiebreaks·Dominant
67
19

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 21:50 UTC
Day K.75%
Jacquemot E.25%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Day K. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.3
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
4.7
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
4.9Hard Elo 1576
Surface ELO
5.1+5 Hard Elo edge
4.8Overall Elo 1595
ELO gap
5.2Overall Elo 1611
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
6.06 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
3.73 of last 10 on hard
Fatigue & Travel
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Dominant
84
53

Day K.: 3 days rest · 2 matches, 40 games (7d) · Jacquemot E.: 1 day rest · 5 matches, 110 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Weather
29°COvercast
Wind 24 km/hHumidity 84%

Draw