J. Penzlin vs Francisco Rocha β€” M25 Sintra Round of 32

M25 Sintra Β· ITF Β· Round of 32
#1415ATP
24 yrs
Last 10 Β· pre-match
LWLWWWLWWL
0 β€” 2
Sets
Tuesday, 8 September 2026 Β·
hard
#811ATP
26 yrs Β· 185 cm Β· Right-handed
Last 10 Β· pre-match
LLLLWWLLWW
Penzlin J.
2-6 4-6
Rocha F.
Penzlin J.
240
Rocha F.
662

Francisco Rocha defeated J. Penzlin in the Round of 32 of the M25 Sintra tournament, winning 6-2, 6-4 on hard courts. Rocha did not hit an ace but converted 50% of his break points, securing three service breaks in the match. In contrast, Penzlin hit three aces and three double faults.

Generated automatically from Umpiry match data.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve inΒ·Even
57%
53%
1st serve points wonΒ·Even
73%
69%
2nd serve points wonΒ·Even
47%
47%
Service points wonΒ·Even
62%
59%
Return points wonΒ·Even
43%
39%
Break points savedΒ·Even
61%
59%
Aces / matchΒ·Even
4.2
3.7
Double faults / matchΒ·Even
3.8
4.1

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (5 vs 15). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match Β· updated 08:50 UTC
Penzlin J.41%
Rocha F.59%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge Β· Rocha F. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.9
Even matchUmpiry ScorePartial Β· surface data limited
5.3
Clear underdogUmpiry ScorePartial Β· surface data limited
Form & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
Surface form
3.13 of last 10 on hard
Win streak
0.0Lost last 8
Fatigue & Travel
6.0Clay β†’ Hard
Surface transition
6.0Clay β†’ Hard
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors β€” matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation β€” into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
FreshnessΒ·
β€”
96

Rocha F.: 8 days rest Β· 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Weather
24Β°CPartly cloudy
Wind 20 km/hHumidity 64%

Draw