Lucie Nguyen Tan vs Alina GranwehrMontreux Nestle Open - Montreux Round of 32

Montreux Nestle Open - Montreux · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
#430WTA
1460ELO
1428Clay ELO
23 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
WWLWLLLLWL
1 — 2
Sets
Tuesday, 8 September 2026 ·
clay
#317WTA
1350ELO
1328Clay ELO
23 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLLWWWWWW
Nguyen Tan L.
3-6 7-5 4-6
Granwehr A.
Nguyen Tan L.
3741
Granwehr A.
6562

Alina Granwehr defeated Lucie Nguyen Tan in the Round of 32 of the Montreux Nestle Open. The match ended with a score of 6-3, 5-7, 6-4 in favor of Granwehr. Key stats included 3 aces and 10 double faults for Granwehr, compared to 1 ace and 5 double faults for Nguyen Tan; Granwehr converted 43% of break points and secured 9 service breaks, while Nguyen Tan converted 50% of break points and secured 7 service breaks.

Generated automatically from Umpiry match data.

Key context

  • Match story: Alina Granwehr closed it out in three sets, 6–3 5–7 6–4.

Head to head

11
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2024-06-09W15 Madrid 1FhardLucie Nguyen Tan6-1 6-4
2023-05-30W25 AnnenheimR32clayAlina Granwehr2-6 6-4 7-6(3)

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
61%
55%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
60%
67%
2nd serve points won·Even
47%
44%
Service points won·Even
55%
57%
Return points won·Even
47%
49%
Break points saved·Slight edge
48%
57%
Aces / match·Clear edge
1.4
4.2
Double faults / match·Dominant
2.1
5.5

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (32 vs 30). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 08:50 UTC
Nguyen Tan L.34%
Granwehr A.66%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Granwehr A. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.6
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
5.4
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
6.2+100 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.8Clay Elo 1328
6.4Overall Elo 1460
ELO gap
3.6Overall Elo 1350
5.0First meeting on clay
H2H
5.0First meeting on clay
6.56 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
5.76 of last 10 on clay
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
3-set count
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
52
76

Nguyen Tan L.: 1 day rest · 3 matches, 88 games (7d) · Granwehr A.: 1 day rest · 1 match, 31 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Draw