Juan Ignacio Gallego vs M. L. Alvarez SarmientoM25 Gijon Round of 32

M25 Gijon · ITF · Round of 32
#1486ATP
19 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
WLWLWWLLLW
2 — 0
Sets
Tuesday, 8 September 2026 ·
clay
#1566ATP
21 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWLWLWWL
Gallego J.
7-5 6-2
Alvarez Sarmiento M.
Gallego J.
762
Alvarez Sarmiento M.
520

Juan Ignacio Gallego defeated M. L. Alvarez Sarmiento in the Round of 32 at the M25 Gijon tournament on clay, winning 7-5, 6-2. Gallego and Alvarez Sarmiento each hit one ace and committed one and zero double faults, respectively. Gallego converted 50% of break points and won five service breaks to Alvarez Sarmiento's two.

Generated automatically from Umpiry match data.

Key context

Head to head

11
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-11-24M25 Antalya 6Q32clayM. L. Alvarez Sarmiento3-6 6-2 15-13
2025-11-18M25 Antalya 5Q16clayJuan Ignacio Gallego6-4 6-2

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
66%
70%
1st serve points won·Clear edge
42%
61%
2nd serve points won·Dominant
25%
50%
Service points won·Clear edge
36%
58%
Return points won·Slight edge
36%
46%
Break points saved·Clear edge
33%
51%
Aces / match·Slight edge
0.0
1.3
Double faults / match·Dominant
4.0
1.5

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (1 vs 8). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 09:50 UTC
Gallego J.29%
Alvarez Sarmiento M.71%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Alvarez Sarmiento M. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.6
Slight disadvantageUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
6.1
Even matchUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
Form & Matchup
4.8Split 1–1 on clay
H2H
5.2Split 1–1 on clay
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Conditions

Weather
22°COvercast
Wind 29 km/hHumidity 79%

Draw