Timofey Skatov vs Yanki ErelIstanbul Round of 32

Istanbul · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
#205ATP
1544ELO
1479Hard ELO
25 yrs · 175 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLLWWLWL
0 — 2
Sets
Tuesday, 8 September 2026 ·
hard
Hilton Court · 4th on
#305ATP
25 yrs · 178 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLWLWWL
Skatov T.
6-7 4-6
Erel Y.
Skatov T.
6240
Erel Y.
7762

Yanki Erel defeated Timofey Skatov in the Round of 32 of the Istanbul hard-court tournament, winning 7-6, 6-4. Erel served six aces and committed three double faults, while converting 29% of break points and securing two service breaks. Skatov served seven aces, made eight double faults, converted 17% of break points, and earned one service break.

Generated automatically from Umpiry match data.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
61%
60%
1st serve points won·Even
70%
69%
2nd serve points won·Even
51%
50%
Service points won·Even
63%
62%
Return points won·Slight edge
38%
44%
Break points saved·Even
58%
57%
Aces / match·Even
3.1
3.3
Double faults / match·Even
2.6
2.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (42 vs 11). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 11:50 UTC
Skatov T.44%
Erel Y.56%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.8
Slight disadvantageUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
5.8
Slight disadvantageUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
Form & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
3.84 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
5.76 of last 10 on hard
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
84
85

Skatov T.: 1 day rest · 1 match, 23 games (7d) · Erel Y.: 1 day rest · 1 match, 23 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast
Weather
23°CMainly clear
Wind 23 km/hHumidity 53%

Draw