Luca Castelnuovo vs Chun Hsin TsengShanghai Round of 32

Shanghai · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
#461ATP
1176ELO
1166Hard ELO
29 yrs · 185 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WLLLLWLLLW
2 — 1
Sets
Tuesday, 8 September 2026 ·
hard
Court 7 · 1st on
#221ATP
1554ELO
1495Hard ELO
25 yrs · 175 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLWWWWL
Castelnuovo L.
3-6 7-6 6-2
Hsin Tseng C.
Castelnuovo L.
37962
Hsin Tseng C.
66721

Luca Castelnuovo defeated Chun Hsin Tseng in the Round of 32 at the Shanghai tournament. Castelnuovo won the match 3-6, 7-6, 6-2. He hit 12 aces and 6 double faults, converting 43% of break points and securing 3 service breaks.

Generated automatically from Umpiry match data.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
57%
60%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
76%
66%
2nd serve points won·Even
51%
48%
Service points won·Slight edge
65%
59%
Return points won·Slight edge
36%
41%
Break points saved·Even
53%
57%
Aces / match·Dominant
6.2
1.2
Double faults / match·Clear edge
2.8
1.7

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (9 vs 22). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 06:50 UTC
Castelnuovo L.46%
Hsin Tseng C.54%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
3.2
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
7.5
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
0.9Hard Elo 1166
Surface ELO
9.1+329 Hard Elo edge
0.3Overall Elo 1176
ELO gap
9.7Overall Elo 1554
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
3.13 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
5.35 of last 10 on hard
Win streak
0.0
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
66
61

Castelnuovo L.: 1 day rest · 2 matches, 48 games (7d) · Hsin Tseng C.: 1 day rest · 4 matches, 91 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather
27°CPartly cloudy
Wind 16 km/hHumidity 55%

Draw