Federica Urgesi vs Miriam Bianca Bulgaru β€” ATIK Antalya Open - Antalya Round of 32

ATIK Antalya Open - Antalya Β· CHALLENGER Β· Round of 32
#274WTA
1546ELO
1532Clay ELO
$44kYTD
$116kCAREER
21 yrs
Last 10 Β· pre-match
LWWWLWLWLW
1 β€” 2
Sets
Tuesday, 8 September 2026 Β·
clay
#322WTA
1366ELO
1330Clay ELO
$78kYTD
$561kCAREER
27 yrs Β· Right-handed
Last 10 Β· pre-match
LLWLWLLWLL
Urgesi F.
6-1 3-6 5-7
Bianca Bulgaru M.
Urgesi F.
6351
Bianca Bulgaru M.
1672

Miriam Bianca Bulgaru defeated Federica Urgesi in the Round of 32 at the ATIK Antalya Open in Antalya. The match ended with a score of 1-6, 6-3, 7-5 in Bulgaru's favor.

Generated automatically from Umpiry match data.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve inΒ·Even
69%
65%
1st serve points wonΒ·Slight edge
60%
55%
2nd serve points wonΒ·Slight edge
46%
41%
Service points wonΒ·Slight edge
56%
51%
Return points wonΒ·Even
47%
43%
Break points savedΒ·Slight edge
50%
43%
Aces / matchΒ·Slight edge
2.1
0.9
Double faults / matchΒ·Dominant
2.0
3.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (36 vs 23). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match Β· updated 12:50 UTC
Urgesi F.76%
Bianca Bulgaru M.24%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite Β· Urgesi F. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.4
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
4.3
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
7.5+202 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
2.5Clay Elo 1330
7.3Overall Elo 1546
ELO gap
2.7Overall Elo 1366
7.0Leads 1–0 on clay
H2H
3.0Trails 0–1 on clay
5.26 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
2.93 of last 10 on clay
0.0
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors β€” matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation β€” into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
FreshnessΒ·Clear edge
86
73

Urgesi F.: 4 days rest Β· 1 match, 28 games (7d) Β· Bianca Bulgaru M.: 3 days rest Β· 2 matches, 55 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Weather
32Β°CClear
Wind 22 km/hHumidity 28%

Draw