Roberto Carballes Baena vs Alexander RitschardSeville Round of 32

Seville · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
#209ATP
1632ELO
1612Clay ELO
33 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLWLLLWL
0 — 2
Sets
Tuesday, 8 September 2026 ·
clay
Pista 3 · 3rd on
#638ATP
1528ELO
1557Clay ELO
32 yrs · 193 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWWWLW
Carballes Baena R.
6-7 3-6
Ritschard A.
Carballes Baena R.
6530
Ritschard A.
7762

Alexander Ritschard defeated Roberto Carballes Baena in the Round of 32 of the Seville tournament on clay, winning 7-6, 6-3. Both players hit zero aces and two double faults. They converted 25% and 33% of break points, and each won one service break.

Generated automatically from Umpiry match data.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
66%
59%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
69%
75%
2nd serve points won·Even
52%
56%
Service points won·Even
63%
67%
Return points won·Even
39%
42%
Break points saved·Even
58%
57%
Aces / match·Even
4.3
4.3
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.6
3.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (29 vs 4). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Even
35
36
Break points saved·Even
81
84
Break points won·Clear edge
32
14
Deciding sets·Clear edge
53
40
Tiebreaks·Dominant
28
60

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 15:50 UTC
Carballes Baena R.60%
Ritschard A.40%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Carballes Baena R. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.8
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
5.0
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
5.7+55 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.3Clay Elo 1557
6.3Overall Elo 1632
ELO gap
3.7Overall Elo 1528
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
3.94 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
6.06 of last 10 on clay
0.0
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
82
64

Carballes Baena R.: 1 day rest · 1 match, 22 games (7d) · Ritschard A.: 1 day rest · 3 matches, 70 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast
Weather
32°CClear
Wind 15 km/hHumidity 37%

Draw