D. A. Amarandei vs Aidan Mchugh β€” M25 Pozzuoli Round of 32

M25 Pozzuoli Β· ITF Β· Round of 32
#1866ATP
18 yrs
Last 10 Β· pre-match
LLLWWLWLLW
1 β€” 2
Sets
Tuesday, 8 September 2026 Β·
hard
#579ATP
26 yrs Β· 180 cm Β· Right-handed
Last 10 Β· pre-match
LWLWWLWWWW
Amarandei D.
1-6 6-3 3-6
Mchugh A.
Amarandei D.
1631
Mchugh A.
6362

Aidan Mchugh defeated D. A. Amarandei 6-1, 3-6, 6-3 in the Round of 32 at the M25 Pozzuoli tournament. Mchugh won 4 service breaks to Amarandei's 2, and converted 29% of break points to Amarandei's 33%. Mchugh hit 1 ace and 7 double faults, compared to Amarandei's 4 aces and 11 double faults.

Generated automatically from Umpiry match data.

Key context

  • Match story: Aidan Mchugh closed it out in three sets, 6–1 3–6 6–3.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve inΒ·Slight edge
64%
70%
1st serve points wonΒ·Slight edge
57%
66%
2nd serve points wonΒ·Dominant
40%
67%
Service points wonΒ·Clear edge
51%
66%
Return points wonΒ·Slight edge
40%
33%
Break points savedΒ·Slight edge
46%
54%
Aces / matchΒ·Clear edge
0.0
2.5
Double faults / matchΒ·Dominant
4.0
0.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (4 vs 2). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match Β· updated 07:50 UTC
Amarandei D.28%
Mchugh A.72%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite Β· Mchugh A. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.0
Even matchUmpiry ScorePartial Β· surface data limited
5.7
Slight disadvantageUmpiry ScorePartial Β· surface data limited
Form & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
Surface form
5.15 of last 10 on hard
Fatigue & Travel
6.0Clay β†’ Hard
Surface transition
7.0Grass β†’ Hard
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors β€” matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation β€” into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Conditions

Weather
29Β°CPartly cloudy
Wind 11 km/hHumidity 74%

Draw