Lukas Pokorny vs Andrew PaulsonTulln Qualifying Round of 16

Tulln · CHALLENGER · Qualifying Round of 16
#614ATP
24 yrs · 191 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLLWWWLW
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 7 September 2026 ·
clay
#606ATP
1452ELO
1427Clay ELO
24 yrs · 191 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WLWWLLLLLL
Pokorny L.
3-6 6-4 6-3
Paulson A.
Pokorny L.
3662
Paulson A.
6431

Lukas Pokorny defeated Andrew Paulson 3-6, 6-4, 6-3 in the Tulln clay court tournament's round of 16. The match saw Pokorny hit 6 aces to Paulson's 3, with both players committing 3 double faults. Both players converted 1 service break, with Pokorny converting 17% of break points and Paulson converting 11%.

Generated automatically from Umpiry match data.

Around the match

  • The anticipation is already quite large. It's always something special to play in Austria, and Tulln is one of the highlights for me every year. That also shows me that I can play very well here.

    Pokorny L.noe.ORF.at

Quotes belong to their sources, linked above. Lines marked “Umpiry summary” are written by Umpiry from the linked article, not quoted from it.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
58%
62%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
73%
66%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
51%
40%
Service points won·Slight edge
64%
56%
Return points won·Even
38%
40%
Break points saved·Clear edge
65%
52%
Aces / match·Dominant
6.8
3.2
Double faults / match·Dominant
1.7
5.1

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (10 vs 10). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 09:50 UTC
Pokorny L.44%
Paulson A.56%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
4.9
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
4.7
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
5.25 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
3.93 of last 10 on clay
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
54
75

Pokorny L.: 1 day rest · 3 matches, 83 games (7d) · Paulson A.: 2 days rest · 2 matches, 45 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast
Weather
26°COvercast
Wind 3 km/hHumidity 36%

Draw