Kayo Nishimura vs Hikaru SatoW50 Guiyang Qualifying Round of 16

W50 Guiyang · ITF · Qualifying Round of 16
#494WTA
20 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLLLLLWW
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 7 September 2026 ·
hard
#460WTA
27 yrs · 174 cm
Last 10 · pre-match
WLWLWLWLWL
Nishimura K.
4-6 7-6 7-5
Sato H.
Nishimura K.
47772
Sato H.
66351

Kayo Nishimura defeated Hikaru Sato 4-6, 7-6, 7-5 in the Q16 of the W50 Guiyang hard court tournament. Nishimura hit one ace and three double faults, while converting 56% of break points and winning five service breaks. Sato recorded two aces and seven double faults, converting 50% of break points and winning six service breaks.

Generated automatically from Umpiry match data.

Key context

Head to head

01
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-11-18W100 Takasaki 1Q16hardHikaru Sato7-6(5) 6-1

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
66%
59%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
56%
67%
2nd serve points won·Even
48%
46%
Service points won·Even
54%
58%
Return points won·Even
46%
43%
Break points saved·Slight edge
52%
58%
Aces / match·Clear edge
0.8
3.5
Double faults / match·Dominant
1.1
3.1

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (14 vs 22). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 01:50 UTC
Nishimura K.61%
Sato H.39%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Nishimura K. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
4.1
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
5.1
Clear underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
3.0Trails 0–1 on hard
H2H
7.0Leads 1–0 on hard
3.94 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
7.27 of last 10 on hard
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Conditions

Weather
28°COvercast
Wind 10 km/hHumidity 47%

Draw