Tiago Pereira vs Pavel Lagutin β€” Seville Qualifying Round of 16

Seville Β· CHALLENGER Β· Qualifying Round of 16
#355ATP
1179ELO
1200Clay ELO
22 yrs Β· Right-handed
Last 10 Β· pre-match
WWLWLLWWLW
1 β€” 2
Sets
Monday, 7 September 2026 Β·
clay
#474ATP
21 yrs
Last 10 Β· pre-match
WWWWWWWLWW
Pereira T.
4-6 7-5 0-6
Lagutin P.
Pereira T.
4701
Lagutin P.
6562

Pavel Lagutin defeated Tiago Pereira 6-4, 5-7, 6-0 in the quarterfinals of the Seville tournament on clay. Both players converted 33% of break points and earned two service breaks apiece. Lagutin and Pereira finished with 0 and 2 aces, and 1 and 1 double faults, respectively.

Generated automatically from Umpiry match data.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve inΒ·Clear edge
58%
78%
1st serve points wonΒ·Slight edge
64%
69%
2nd serve points wonΒ·Slight edge
44%
49%
Service points wonΒ·Slight edge
56%
65%
Return points wonΒ·Clear edge
39%
54%
Break points savedΒ·Clear edge
48%
70%
Aces / matchΒ·Clear edge
2.4
0.8
Double faults / matchΒ·Clear edge
2.4
1.6

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (17 vs 5). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match Β· updated 09:50 UTC
Pereira T.54%
Lagutin P.46%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up Β· Too close to call

Calibrated model Β· 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
4.8
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial Β· surface data limited
  • Back-to-back day (βˆ’0.5)
5.1
Clear underdogUmpiry ScorePartial Β· surface data limited
  • Back-to-back day (βˆ’0.5)
Form & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
3.63 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors β€” matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation β€” into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
FreshnessΒ·Clear edge
47
61

Pereira T.: 1 day rest Β· 4 matches, 112 games (7d) Β· Lagutin P.: 1 day rest Β· 3 matches, 70 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast
Weather
39Β°CMainly clear
Wind 3 km/hHumidity 18%

Draw