Maxime Janvier vs Oskari PaldaniusCassis Qualifying Round of 16

Cassis · CHALLENGER · Qualifying Round of 16
#572ATP
1297ELO
1282Hard ELO
29 yrs · 196 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWLLWLWL
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 7 September 2026 ·
hard
Court 1 · 1st on
#824ATP
19 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
WLWLWWWWWW
Janvier M.
6-1 3-6 7-5
Paldanius O.
Janvier M.
6372
Paldanius O.
1651

Maxime Janvier defeated Oskari Paldanius 6-1, 3-6, 7-5 in the quarterfinals of qualifying at the Cassis hard-court tournament. Janvier hit 3 aces to Paldanius' 1 and converted 33% of break points, as did his opponent. Janvier won 2 service breaks to Paldanius' 1.

Generated automatically from Umpiry match data.

Key context

  • Match story: Maxime Janvier came through a tight passage before pulling clear — 6–1 3–6 7–5.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
62%
65%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
72%
66%
2nd serve points won·Even
47%
48%
Service points won·Even
62%
59%
Return points won·Even
37%
39%
Break points saved·Slight edge
61%
51%
Aces / match·Clear edge
4.7
2.1
Double faults / match·Slight edge
3.0
3.4

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (15 vs 9). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 07:50 UTC
Janvier M.54%
Paldanius O.46%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.0
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
4.8
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
7.37 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
4.64 of last 10 on hard
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
56
68

Janvier M.: 1 day rest · 3 matches, 63 games (7d) · Paldanius O.: 2 days rest · 2 matches, 47 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather
29°CClear
Wind 9 km/hHumidity 67%

Draw