Andrey Chepelev vs Gianmarco FerrariGenoa Qualifying Round of 16

Genoa · CHALLENGER · Qualifying Round of 16
#383ATP
28 yrs · 178 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WLLWWWWWLL
0 — 2
Sets
Monday, 7 September 2026 ·
clay
Court 1 · 1st on
#517ATP
25 yrs · 191 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLLWLWLW
Chepelev A.
3-6 3-6
Ferrari G.
Chepelev A.
330
Ferrari G.
662

Gianmarco Ferrari defeated Andrey Chepelev 6-3, 6-3 in the quarterfinals of the Genoa tournament on clay. Ferrari hit 3 aces and no double faults, while Chepelev had 1 ace and 2 double faults. Ferrari converted 50% of his break points and won one service break to advance.

Generated automatically from Umpiry match data.

Key context

Head to head

20
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-10-07M25 Santa Margherita di Pula 10R32clayAndrey Chepelev6-2 6-1
2022-06-18M15 Chieti 1SFclayAndrey Chepelev7-5 6-3

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
67%
69%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
64%
59%
2nd serve points won·Even
49%
50%
Service points won·Even
59%
56%
Return points won·Even
39%
35%
Break points saved·Even
58%
60%
Aces / match·Slight edge
2.5
1.5
Double faults / match·Clear edge
2.3
1.2

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (15 vs 6). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 07:50 UTC
Chepelev A.41%
Ferrari G.59%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Ferrari G. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
4.8
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
4.6
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
7.0Leads 1–0 on clay
H2H
3.0Trails 0–1 on clay
4.34 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
4.34 of last 10 on clay
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
75
67

Chepelev A.: 2 days rest · 2 matches, 35 games (7d) · Ferrari G.: 1 day rest · 3 matches, 63 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast
Weather
30°CClear
Wind 6 km/hHumidity 62%

Draw