Justin Boulais vs Matisse BobichonCassis Qualifying Round of 16

Cassis · CHALLENGER · Qualifying Round of 16
#403ATP
1352ELO
1326Hard ELO
24 yrs · 183 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WLLLLLWWLW
1 — 2
Sets
Monday, 7 September 2026 ·
hard
Court 1 · 2nd on
#639ATP
24 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWLLWWL
Boulais J.
6-3 6-7 3-6
Bobichon M.
Boulais J.
66531
Bobichon M.
37762

Matisse Bobichon defeated Justin Boulais in the Q16 of the Cassis hard-court tournament. The match ended with a score of 3-6, 7-6, 6-3 in favor of Bobichon. The players recorded equal numbers of service breaks at 3 each, and Bobichon had 4 aces and 7 double faults, compared to Boulais' 3 aces and 9 double faults.

Generated automatically from Umpiry match data.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
62%
59%
1st serve points won·Even
68%
70%
2nd serve points won·Even
52%
54%
Service points won·Even
62%
63%
Return points won·Slight edge
41%
35%
Break points saved·Even
65%
61%
Aces / match·Slight edge
4.1
4.9
Double faults / match·Even
2.6
2.6

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (21 vs 9). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 09:50 UTC
Boulais J.50%
Bobichon M.50%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
4.5
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
5.0
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
3.13 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
5.76 of last 10 on hard
Fatigue & Travel
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
74
59

Boulais J.: 2 days rest · 2 matches, 46 games (7d) · Bobichon M.: 1 day rest · 3 matches, 78 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather
29°CMainly clear
Wind 9 km/hHumidity 65%

Draw