Mika Petkovic vs Federico ArnaboldiGenoa Qualifying Round of 16

Genoa · CHALLENGER · Qualifying Round of 16
#432ATP
19 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWLLWWLL
1 — 2
Sets
Monday, 7 September 2026 ·
clay
Court 2 · 2nd on
#521ATP
1328ELO
1289Clay ELO
26 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWLLLWLW
Petkovic M.
3-6 6-3 6-7
Arnaboldi F.
Petkovic M.
36671
Arnaboldi F.
63792

Federico Arnaboldi defeated Mika Petkovic 6-3, 3-6, 7-6 in the quarterfinals of the Genoa tournament on clay. Arnaboldi hit 7 aces and 5 double faults, while Petkovic had 1 ace and 1 double fault. Both players converted 1 service break, with Arnaboldi converting 33% of break points and Petkovic converting 11%.

Generated automatically from Umpiry match data.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
63%
58%
1st serve points won·Even
66%
69%
2nd serve points won·Even
54%
50%
Service points won·Even
62%
61%
Return points won·Even
41%
42%
Break points saved·Even
61%
57%
Aces / match·Clear edge
2.3
4.1
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.3
2.9

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (12 vs 30). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 10:50 UTC
Petkovic M.43%
Arnaboldi F.57%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
4.7
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
4.5
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
4.14 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
3.43 of last 10 on clay
Fatigue & Travel
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
3-set count
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
54
53

Petkovic M.: 1 day rest · 4 matches, 95 games (7d) · Arnaboldi F.: 1 day rest · 4 matches, 97 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast
Weather
30°CClear
Wind 7 km/hHumidity 58%

Draw