Carolina Alves vs Antonia Vergara RiveraKia Open - Barranquilla Qualifying Round of 8

Kia Open - Barranquilla · CHALLENGER · Qualifying Round of 8
#314WTA
1280ELO
1275Hard ELO
$26kYTD
$465kCAREER
30 yrs · 170 cm
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWWWWWWL
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 7 September 2026 ·
hard
Court KIA · 2nd on
#369WTA
1351ELO
1291Hard ELO
$16kYTD
$52kCAREER
19 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLLLWLWLL
Alves C.
6-2 6-4
Vergara Rivera A.
Alves C.
662
Vergara Rivera A.
240

Carolina Alves defeated Antonia Vergara Rivera in the quarterfinals of the Kia Open - Barranquilla. The match ended with a score of 6-2, 6-4 in favor of Alves.

Generated automatically from Umpiry match data.

Key context

Head to head

10
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2024-08-07W35 Chacabuco 1R32clayCarolina Alves6-1 6-1

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
68%
68%
1st serve points won·Even
61%
58%
2nd serve points won·Even
46%
42%
Service points won·Even
56%
53%
Return points won·Even
48%
51%
Break points saved·Even
56%
54%
Aces / match·Even
0.9
1.0
Double faults / match·Even
2.5
2.2

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (26 vs 33). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 18:50 UTC
Alves C.50%
Vergara Rivera A.50%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
4.8
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
5.8
Slight disadvantageUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
Form & Matchup
4.8Hard Elo 1275
Surface ELO
5.2+16 Hard Elo edge
4.1Overall Elo 1280
ELO gap
5.9Overall Elo 1351
5.0First meeting on hard
H2H
5.0First meeting on hard
1.62 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
Surface transition
6.0Clay → Hard
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
86
94

Alves C.: 4 days rest · 2 matches, 39 games (7d) · Vergara Rivera A.: 5 days rest · 1 match, 18 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Weather
30°CThunderstorm
Wind 11 km/hHumidity 78%

Draw