Mathieu Scaglia vs Amit Vales — Cassis Qualifying Round of 32

Cassis · CHALLENGER · Qualifying Round of 32
FRAALT
Mathieu Scaglia
#1041ATP
27 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWLWWLW
2 — 1
Sets
Sunday, 6 September 2026 ·
hard
Court 1 · 4th on
ISR
Amit Vales
#598ATP
21 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWWWLWW
Scaglia M.
4-6 6-2 7-6
Vales A.
Scaglia M.
46772
Vales A.
62611

Mathieu Scaglia defeated Amit Vales 4-6, 6-2, 7-6 in the Q32 of the Cassis hard-court tournament. Scaglia hit 12 aces to Vales' 4 and converted 60% of his break points compared to Vales' 33%. Scaglia won 3 service breaks to Vales' 2.

Generated automatically from Umpiry match data.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
Scaglia M.Vales A.
1st serve in·Even
57%
56%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
78%
68%
2nd serve points won·Even
52%
51%
Service points won·Slight edge
67%
61%
Return points won·Even
41%
42%
Break points saved·Slight edge
70%
64%
Aces / match·Clear edge
6.0
3.3
Double faults / match·Clear edge
4.3
3.5

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (4 vs 4). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 10:50 UTC
Scaglia M.41%
Vales A.59%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Vales A. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Scaglia M.
5.4
Clear underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
Vales A.
6.0
Even matchUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
Form & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
Surface form
5.96 of last 10 on hard
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
3-set count
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
6.0Clay → Hard
Surface transition
6.0Clay → Hard
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Scaglia M.Vales A.
Freshness·Clear edge
57
73

Scaglia M.: 1 day rest · 3 matches, 83 games (7d) · Vales A.: 3 days rest · 1 match, 31 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather
28°CClear
Wind 10 km/hHumidity 74%

Draw