Andrew Paulson vs Robert StrombachsTulln Qualifying Round of 32

Tulln · CHALLENGER · Qualifying Round of 32
#606ATP
1452ELO
1427Clay ELO
24 yrs · 191 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWLLLLLL
2 — 0
Sets
Sunday, 6 September 2026 ·
clay
#415ATP
1294ELO
1256Clay ELO
26 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWWWWWWL
Paulson A.
6-2 6-3
Strombachs R.
Paulson A.
662
Strombachs R.
230

Andrew Paulson defeated Robert Strombachs 6-2, 6-3 in the Tulln qualifying round 3 second leg. Paulson served two aces to Strombachs' zero and converted both of his break points. Paulson won the match with two service breaks to Strombachs' zero.

Generated automatically from Umpiry match data.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
62%
64%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
66%
72%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
40%
46%
Service points won·Slight edge
56%
63%
Return points won·Slight edge
40%
35%
Break points saved·Slight edge
52%
61%
Aces / match·Even
3.2
3.8
Double faults / match·Slight edge
5.1
4.6

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (10 vs 12). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Even
2
2
Break points saved·
40
Break points won·
3
Deciding sets·
19
Tiebreaks·
30

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 13:50 UTC
Paulson A.36%
Strombachs R.64%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Strombachs R. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.0
Even matchUmpiry Score
5.3
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
7.1+171 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
2.9Clay Elo 1256
7.0Overall Elo 1452
ELO gap
3.0Overall Elo 1294
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
2.62 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
4.25 of last 10 on clay
0.0
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
75
88

Paulson A.: 2 days rest · 2 matches, 45 games (7d) · Strombachs R.: 3 days rest · 1 match, 17 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast
Weather
24°CClear
Wind 9 km/hHumidity 32%

Draw