Ryuki Matsuda vs Naoki Nakagawa — M25 Urayasu Final
M25 Urayasu · ITF · Final
0 — 2
Sets
Sunday, 6 September 2026 ·
hard
#782ATP
1289ELO
1271Hard ELO
29 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWWLWLLWW
Matsuda R.3-6 6-7
Nakagawa N.
Matsuda R.
3650
Nakagawa N.
6772
Naoki Nakagawa won the M25 Urayasu final, defeating Ryuki Matsuda 6-3, 7-6. Nakagawa hit 7 aces to Matsuda's 2 and converted all his break points to secure the win. Nakagawa achieved 1 service break, while Matsuda was unable to break Nakagawa's serve.
Generated automatically from Umpiry match data.
Key context
- Match story: Naoki Nakagawa closed it out in two sets, 6–3 7–6.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.
Statistics
This season1st serve in·Slight edge
65%
56%
1st serve points won·Clear edge
63%
82%
2nd serve points won·Even
48%
51%
Service points won·Slight edge
58%
68%
Return points won·Slight edge
31%
38%
Break points saved·Slight edge
53%
58%
Aces / match·Dominant
1.5
11.3
Double faults / match·Slight edge
1.8
2.3
Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (8 vs 8). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 02:50 UTCMatsuda R.38%
Nakagawa N.62%
Toss-up
50–58%
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+
80%+
Slight edge · Nakagawa N. narrowly ahead
Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Umpiry Score
Pre-matchForm & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H5.0No prior meetings
0.00 of last 10 on hard
Surface form5.35 of last 10 on hard
0.0Lost last 10
Win streak0.0
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts5.0Didn't play here last year
The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Conditions
Weather
23°CRain
Wind 14 km/hHumidity 89%