Matteo Covato vs Leo RaquilletCassis Qualifying Round of 32

Cassis · CHALLENGER · Qualifying Round of 32
#753ATP
21 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLLLLLLLL
0 — 2
Sets
Sunday, 6 September 2026 ·
hard
Central · 1st on
#662ATP
20 yrs · 191 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLWLLLLW
Covato M.
2-6 2-6
Raquillet L.
Covato M.
220
Raquillet L.
662

Leo Raquillet defeated Matteo Covato 6-2, 6-2 in the Q32 of the Cassis hard-court tournament. Raquillet hit one ace and three double faults, while Covato had three aces and none. Raquillet converted 50% of his break points and won two service breaks to advance.

Generated automatically from Umpiry match data.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
64%
74%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
65%
55%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
44%
33%
Service points won·Slight edge
57%
49%
Return points won·Slight edge
30%
37%
Break points saved·Even
56%
56%
Aces / match·Dominant
4.8
1.5
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.9
2.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (14 vs 4). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 07:50 UTC
Covato M.37%
Raquillet L.63%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Raquillet L. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
4.9
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
5.2
Clear underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
Form & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
0.00 of last 5 on hard
Surface form
1.42 of last 10 on hard
0.0Lost last 3
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
6.0Clay → Hard
Surface transition
6.0Clay → Hard
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
87
84

Covato M.: 3 days rest · 1 match, 16 games (7d) · Raquillet L.: 2 days rest · 2 matches, 32 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather
28°COvercast
Wind 10 km/hHumidity 63%

Draw