Justin Boulais vs Matis RocheCassis Qualifying Round of 32

Cassis · CHALLENGER · Qualifying Round of 32
#403ATP
1352ELO
1326Hard ELO
24 yrs · 183 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLLLLWWLW
2 — 0
Sets
Sunday, 6 September 2026 ·
hard
21 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLLLLWLL
Boulais J.
6-0 6-3
Roche M.
Boulais J.
662
Roche M.
030

Justin Boulais defeated Matis Roche 6-0, 6-3 in the Q32 of the Cassis hard-court tournament. Boulais hit one ace and one double fault, while Roche had no aces and two double faults. Boulais converted all his break points and won three service breaks to secure the win.

Generated automatically from Umpiry match data.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
62%
63%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
68%
61%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
52%
61%
Service points won·Even
62%
61%
Return points won·Slight edge
41%
32%
Break points saved·Slight edge
65%
71%
Aces / match·Dominant
4.1
0.0
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.6
2.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (21 vs 1). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 12:50 UTC
Boulais J.80%
Roche M.20%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Strong favourite · Boulais J. heavily favoured

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.4
Clear underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
5.9
Even matchUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
Form & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
2.33 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
0.0Lost last 5
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
Surface transition
6.0Clay → Hard
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
74
93

Boulais J.: 2 days rest · 2 matches, 46 games (7d) · Roche M.: 3 days rest · 1 match, 15 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather
27°CClear
Wind 8 km/hHumidity 80%

Draw