Joanna Garland vs Darya AstakhovaW75 Tianjin Final

W75 Tianjin · ITF · Final
#202WTA
1536ELO
1546Hard ELO
25 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWLWWLW
2 — 0
Sets
Sunday, 6 September 2026 ·
hard
#227WTA
1511ELO
1446Hard ELO
24 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWWWWLLWW
Garland J.
6-3 6-2
Astakhova D.
Garland J.
662
Astakhova D.
320

Joanna Garland won the W75 Tianjin final, defeating Darya Astakhova 6-3, 6-2. The match saw both players hit zero aces and zero double faults for Garland, while Astakhova committed two double faults. Garland converted 43% of her break points and won three service breaks to Astakhova's two.

Generated automatically from Umpiry match data.

Key context

Head to head

03
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2023-11-25W60 BrisbaneSFhardDarya Astakhova1-6 6-3 6-4
2021-10-25W80+H Les Franqueses del VallesQ16hardDarya Astakhova6-1 6-3
2021-06-16W25 JonkopingR16clayDarya Astakhova6-0 3-6 6-2

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
61%
66%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
68%
59%
2nd serve points won·Even
49%
45%
Service points won·Slight edge
61%
54%
Return points won·Clear edge
38%
50%
Break points saved·Slight edge
63%
53%
Aces / match·Dominant
4.0
1.0
Double faults / match·Clear edge
3.7
2.9

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (21 vs 43). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 02:50 UTC
Garland J.62%
Astakhova D.38%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Garland J. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
4.5
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
4.6
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
6.2+100 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.8Hard Elo 1446
5.3Overall Elo 1536
ELO gap
4.7Overall Elo 1511
3.0Trails 0–1 on hard
H2H
7.0Leads 1–0 on hard
3.43 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
5.86 of last 10 on hard
0.0
Win streak
0.0Lost last 3
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
97
100

Garland J.: 13 days rest · 2 matches (14d) · Astakhova D.: 16 days rest. Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Weather
29°CMainly clear
Wind 9 km/hHumidity 58%

Draw