Carlos Maria Zarate vs Felix Corwin β€” M15 Trelew Semi-final

M15 Trelew Β· ITF Β· Semi-final
#385ATP
1200ELO
1212Hard ELO
21 yrs
Last 10 Β· pre-match
WWWWLWWWWL
2 β€” 0
Sets
Saturday, 5 September 2026 Β·
hard
#894ATP
30 yrs Β· 188 cm Β· Right-handed
Last 10 Β· pre-match
WWLWWLLLLW
Maria Zarate C.
7-5 6-2
Corwin F.
Maria Zarate C.
762
Corwin F.
520

Carlos Maria Zarate defeated Felix Corwin in the semifinals of the M15 Trelew tournament, winning 7-5, 6-2. Zarate converted 62% of his break points and secured five service breaks, while Corwin had eight aces and eight double faults. The win advanced Zarate to the final.

Generated automatically from Umpiry match data.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve inΒ·Even
54%
55%
1st serve points wonΒ·Even
69%
73%
2nd serve points wonΒ·Even
48%
47%
Service points wonΒ·Even
59%
61%
Return points wonΒ·Even
42%
39%
Break points savedΒ·Slight edge
62%
51%
Aces / matchΒ·Dominant
2.7
6.3
Double faults / matchΒ·Clear edge
4.2
5.6

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (22 vs 10). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match Β· updated 18:50 UTC
Maria Zarate C.58%
Corwin F.42%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge Β· Maria Zarate C. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
4.4
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial Β· surface data limited
  • Back-to-back day (βˆ’0.5)
4.2
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial Β· surface data limited
  • Back-to-back day (βˆ’0.5)
Form & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
Surface form
4.24 of last 10 on hard
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
0.0Lost last 3
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors β€” matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation β€” into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Conditions

Weather
6Β°CMainly clear
Wind 34 km/hHumidity 55%

Draw