Yanaki Milev vs Ignacio Parisca — Plovdiv 3 Round of 16

Plovdiv 3 · CHALLENGER · Round of 16
BULWC
Yanaki Milev
#858ATP
22 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
WLWWLLWLWW
—
Sets
Thursday, 3 September 2026 ·
clay
VENQ
Ignacio Parisca
#737ATP
21 yrs
Last 10
WWLLWWLWWL
Milev Y.
vs
Parisca I.

Yanaki Milev faces Ignacio Parisca in the Plovdiv 3 round of 16 on clay. Ignacio Parisca holds the paper edge — ranked #737. Recent clay form is closely matched.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 16:50 UTC
Milev Y.49%
Parisca I.51%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

  • Last match: Ignacio Parisca dropped just 6 games past Filip Jeff Planinsek.
  • Fatigue load: Yanaki Milev carries the heavier recent load — 3 three-setters to 1 in the past fortnight.
  • Surface form: Both 6 of 10 on clay recently — court-specific quality nearly identical despite the ranking gap.

Common opponents

Last 12 months
No common opponents in the last 12 months.
Includes tour-level, 125s, qualifying and team events (⚑). Walkovers excluded. Describes past results in different contexts — not a prediction.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Milev Y.
5.4
Clear underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
Parisca I.
6.2
Even matchUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
Form & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
2.82 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
6.65 of last 8 on clay
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

5 vs 7 matches

Statistics

This season
Milev Y.Parisca I.
1st serve in·Even
62%
63%
1st serve points won·Even
65%
65%
2nd serve points won·Even
52%
51%
Service points won·Even
60%
60%
Return points won·Even
43%
45%
Break points saved·Even
57%
54%
Aces / match·Slight edge
1.8
0.9
Double faults / match·Even
3.0
2.7

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (5 vs 7). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Milev Y.serving59% hold

wins 54% of points on serve vs Parisca I.

Parisca I.serving63% hold

wins 55% of points on serve vs Milev Y.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Freshness

Recent load
Milev Y.Parisca I.
Freshness·Slight edge
76
70

Milev Y.: 1 day rest · 1 match, 32 games (7d) · Parisca I.: 1 day rest · 2 matches, 49 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Weather forecast
31°COvercast
Wind 9 km/hHumidity 37%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Draw