Mykyta Mashtakov vs Juan Manuel La Serna — Plovdiv 3 Round of 16
Mashtakov M.
Mykyta Mashtakov faces Juan Manuel La Serna in the Plovdiv 3 round of 16 on clay. Juan Manuel La Serna is the paper favourite — ranked #283 — but Mykyta Mashtakov arrives in form, winning 9 of their last 10 on clay to Juan Manuel La Serna's 6.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 16:50 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Slight edge · La Serna J. narrowly ahead
Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Key context
- Freshness: Mykyta Mashtakov comes in with 1 days of rest and 78 games in 14d, vs Juan Manuel La Serna's 2 and 114.
- Last match: Juan Manuel La Serna dropped just 3 games past Alexander Vasilev.
- Last match: Mykyta Mashtakov edged Stefan Popovic in two tight sets (7–5 7–6).
Common opponents
Last 12 monthsUmpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (5 vs 27). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Serve vs return
This seasonEach player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Freshness
Recent loadMashtakov M.: 1 day rest · 3 matches, 78 games (7d) · La Serna J.: 2 days rest · 2 matches, 42 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About
Conditions
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.