Niels Visker vs Pedro Vives MarcosPorto Round of 16

Porto · CHALLENGER · Round of 16
#426ATP
1371ELO
1262Clay ELO
24 yrs · 191 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
WWWLLWWWLW
Sets
Thursday, 3 September 2026 ·
clay
#531ATP
25 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
WWLWWLWWWW
Visker N.
vs
Vives Marcos P.

Niels Visker faces Pedro Vives Marcos in the Porto round of 16 on clay. Niels Visker holds the paper edge — ranked #426. Recent clay form is closely matched.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 16:50 UTC
Visker N.30%
Vives Marcos P.70%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Vives Marcos P. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

Common opponents

Last 12 months
No common opponents in the last 12 months.
Includes tour-level, 125s, qualifying and team events (⚑). Walkovers excluded. Describes past results in different contexts — not a prediction.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.4
Marginal edgeUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
5.9
Even matchUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
Form & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
7.27 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
4.62 of last 5 on clay
7.03-match win streak
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

20 vs 2 matches

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
59%
63%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
80%
74%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
55%
44%
Service points won·Slight edge
70%
63%
Return points won·Slight edge
32%
39%
Break points saved·Dominant
76%
40%
Aces / match·Dominant
10.7
5.0
Double faults / match·Slight edge
3.4
4.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (20 vs 2). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Visker N.serving86% hold

wins 67% of points on serve vs Vives Marcos P.

Vives Marcos P.serving85% hold

wins 66% of points on serve vs Visker N.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
59
77

Visker N.: 1 day rest · 3 matches, 74 games (7d) · Vives Marcos P.: 1 day rest · 2 matches, 39 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast
Weather forecast
28°CClear
Wind 6 km/hHumidity 59%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Draw