Jessica Bouzas Maneiro vs Elena Rybakina — US Open Round of 64
Bouzas Maneiro J.
Jessica Bouzas Maneiro faces Elena Rybakina in the US Open round of 64 on hard. Elena Rybakina holds the paper edge — ranked #2, leading the head-to-head 1–0, defending last year's round of 16.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 16:50 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Strong favourite · Rybakina E. heavily favoured
Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Key context
- Serve & return: Elena Rybakina leads on Serve Rating (100), Jessica Bouzas Maneiro on Return Rating (51).
- Under pressure: In the tight moments, Elena Rybakina has rated higher under pressure (Clutch Rating 99 vs 18).
- Last match: Elena Rybakina dropped just 5 games past Thea Frodin.
Common opponents
Last 12 monthsUmpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (34 vs 43). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Serve vs return
This seasonEach player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Clutch
Under pressurePerformance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About
Freshness
Recent loadBouzas Maneiro J.: 1 day rest · 1 match, 19 games (7d) · Rybakina E.: 1 day rest · 1 match, 17 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About
Conditions
Head to head
0–1| Date | Tournament | Round | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-12-27 | United Cup | RR | hard | Elena Rybakina | 6-2 6-3 |