Haruka Kaji vs Han Shi — W75 Tianjin Round of 16

W75 Tianjin · ITF · Round of 16

JPN8

Haruka Kaji

#257WTA

1421ELO

1412Hard ELO

31 yrs · Right-handed

Last 10

WLWLWLLLLW

—

Sets

Thursday, 3 September 2026 · 13:00

hard

CHN

Han Shi

#262WTA

1270ELO

1271Hard ELO

21 yrs · Right-handed

Last 10

WLLWWWWLLW

Kaji H.

Shi H.

Haruka Kaji faces Han Shi in the W75 Tianjin round of 16 on hard. Haruka Kaji is the paper favourite — ranked #257, a roughly 140-point hard Elo advantage — but Han Shi arrives in form, winning 4 of their last 6 on hard to Haruka Kaji's 2.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 16:50 UTC

Kaji H.50%

Shi H.50%

Toss-up
50–58%

Slight edge
58–67%

Clear favourite
67–80%

Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

Surface form: Haruka Kaji 2 of 6, Han Shi 4 of 6 on hard recently — Han Shi the sharper of late.
Fatigue load: Haruka Kaji carries the heavier recent load — 1 three-setter to 0 in the past fortnight.

Common opponents

Last 12 months

1 common opponents · Kaji H. 0–1 · Shi H. 0–1 · small sample

Both lost · hard to compare — different surfaces (Hard × Clay) · 8 months apart▾

Includes tour-level, 125s, qualifying and team events (⚑). Walkovers excluded. Describes past results in different contexts — not a prediction.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match

Kaji H.

5.1

Clear underdogUmpiry Score

Back-to-back day (−0.5)

Shi H.

4.0

Heavy underdogUmpiry Score

Back-to-back day (−0.5)

Form & Matchup

6.8+140 Hard Elo edge

Surface ELO

3.2Hard Elo 1271

6.9Overall Elo 1421

ELO gap

3.1Overall Elo 1270

5.0No prior meetings

H2H

5.0No prior meetings

5.15 of last 10 on hard

Surface form

4.85 of last 10 on hard

0.0

Win streak

0.0Lost last 2

Context

5.0Didn't play here last year

Defending pts

5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

32 vs 50 matches

Statistics

This season

Kaji H.Shi H.

1st serve in·Slight edge

68%

63%

1st serve points won·Even

59%

61%

2nd serve points won·Even

48%

46%

Service points won·Even

55%

56%

Return points won·Slight edge

44%

49%

Break points saved·Even

51%

55%

Aces / match·Even

1.2

1.5

Double faults / match·Dominant

2.1

3.7

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (32 vs 50). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season

Kaji H.serving41% hold

wins 46% of points on serve vs Shi H.

Shi H.serving55% hold

wins 52% of points on serve vs Kaji H.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Conditions

Weather forecast

29°CClear

Wind 6 km/hHumidity 48%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.