Johan Nikles vs Filip Cristian Jianu — Como Round of 16

Como · CHALLENGER · Round of 16
Johan Nikles
SUIQ
Johan Nikles
#417ATP
1319ELO
1306Clay ELO
29 yrs · 173 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
WWWLLLLWLW
—
Sets
Thursday, 3 September 2026 ·
clay
Filip Cristian Jianu
ROU
Filip Cristian Jianu
#265ATP
1387ELO
1362Clay ELO
24 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
WLWLWWWWLL
Nikles J.
vs
Jianu F.

Johan Nikles faces Filip Cristian Jianu in the Como round of 16 on clay. Filip Cristian Jianu is the paper favourite — ranked #265, a roughly 60-point clay Elo advantage — but Johan Nikles rides a 3-match win streak. Recent clay form is closely matched.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 16:50 UTC
Nikles J.41%
Jianu F.59%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Jianu F. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

Common opponents

Last 12 months
No common opponents in the last 12 months.
Includes tour-level, 125s, qualifying and team events (⚑). Walkovers excluded. Describes past results in different contexts — not a prediction.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Nikles J.
5.7
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
Jianu F.
6.4
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
4.3Clay Elo 1306
Surface ELO
5.7+56 Clay Elo edge
4.1Overall Elo 1319
ELO gap
5.9Overall Elo 1387
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
5.65 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
5.85 of last 10 on clay
7.03-match win streak
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
3-set count
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

22 vs 16 matches

Statistics

This season
Nikles J.Jianu F.
1st serve in·Slight edge
59%
68%
1st serve points won·Even
62%
66%
2nd serve points won·Even
49%
51%
Service points won·Even
57%
61%
Return points won·Slight edge
46%
38%
Break points saved·Clear edge
54%
71%
Aces / match·Even
1.5
1.8
Double faults / match·Clear edge
2.4
1.4

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (22 vs 16). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Nikles J.serving64% hold

wins 56% of points on serve vs Jianu F.

Jianu F.serving56% hold

wins 52% of points on serve vs Nikles J.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Clutch

Under pressure
Nikles J.Jianu F.
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
7
16
Break points saved·Dominant
22
55
Break points won·Clear edge
30
52
Deciding sets·Clear edge
29
13
Tiebreaks·
—
1

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Nikles J.Jianu F.
Freshness·Dominant
56
88

Nikles J.: 1 day rest · 3 matches, 79 games (7d) · Jianu F.: 2 days rest · 1 match, 13 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast
Weather forecast
30°CPartly cloudy
Wind 10 km/hHumidity 33%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Draw