Akira Santillan vs Ilya Ivashka — Zhangjiagang Round of 16
Santillan A.
Akira Santillan faces Ilya Ivashka in the Zhangjiagang round of 16 on hard. Akira Santillan holds the paper edge — ranked #328. Recent hard form is closely matched.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 16:50 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Slight edge · Ivashka I. narrowly ahead
Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Key context
- Under pressure: Ilya Ivashka has the edge on pressure points (Clutch Rating 32 vs Akira Santillan's 0).
- Last match: Ilya Ivashka dropped the opening set before beating Yi Zhou 3–6 7–6 6–3.
- Last match: Akira Santillan dropped just 5 games past Omar Jasika.
Common opponents
Last 12 monthsUmpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (7 vs 15). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Serve vs return
This seasonEach player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Clutch
Under pressurePerformance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About
Freshness
Recent loadSantillan A.: 1 day rest · 1 match, 17 games (7d) · Ivashka I.: 2 days rest · 1 match, 31 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About
When it starts
1st on CENTER COURT · Starts At 11:00 · up next on court
- 1Santillan A. v Ivashka I.This match
- 2Tomic B. v Samrej K.
Conditions
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.