Taisei Ichikawa vs Ryuki Matsuda — M25 Urayasu Round of 16
M25 Urayasu · ITF · Round of 16
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Sets
Thursday, 3 September 2026 ·
hard
Ichikawa T.vs
Matsuda R.
Taisei Ichikawa faces Ryuki Matsuda in the M25 Urayasu round of 16 on hard. They have met 2 times, Ryuki Matsuda leading 2–0. Recent hard form is closely matched.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 16:50 UTCIchikawa T.51%
Matsuda R.49%
Toss-up
50–58%
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+
80%+
Toss-up · Too close to call
Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Key context
- Head-to-head: Ryuki Matsuda leads the head-to-head 2–0. Last met at M15 Bali 2 2026.
- Fatigue load: Ryuki Matsuda carries the heavier recent load — 1 three-setter to 0 in the past fortnight.
- Surface form: Taisei Ichikawa 6 of 10, Ryuki Matsuda 7 of 10 on hard recently — Ryuki Matsuda the sharper of late.
Common opponents
Last 12 monthsNo common opponents in the last 12 months.
Includes tour-level, 125s, qualifying and team events (⚑). Walkovers excluded. Describes past results in different contexts — not a prediction.
Umpiry Score
Pre-match5.7
Slight disadvantageUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limitedForm & Matchup
3.1Trails 1–3 on hard
H2H6.9Leads 3–1 on hard
5.76 of last 10 on hard
Surface form0.00 of last 10 on hard
0.0
Win streak0.0Lost last 10
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts5.0Didn't play here last year
The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
4 vs 8 matches
Statistics
This season1st serve in·Slight edge
60%
65%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
70%
63%
2nd serve points won·Even
48%
48%
Service points won·Even
61%
58%
Return points won·Slight edge
41%
31%
Break points saved·Clear edge
69%
53%
Aces / match·Dominant
6.5
1.5
Double faults / match·Clear edge
2.8
1.8
Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (4 vs 8). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Serve vs return
This seasonServe advantage — Ichikawa T.
Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Conditions
Weather forecast
29°CMainly clear
Wind 12 km/hHumidity 85%
Head to head
0–2| Date | Tournament | Round | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-29 | M15 Bali 2 | R32 | hard | Ryuki Matsuda | 3-6 6-2 6-2 |
| 2026-07-24 | M15 Bali | QF | hard | Ryuki Matsuda | 2-6 6-3 6-2 |