Ilia Simakin vs Matthew DellavedovaZhangjiagang Round of 16

Zhangjiagang · CHALLENGER · Round of 16
#269ATP
1463ELO
1505Hard ELO
22 yrs · 193 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
WLWWWWLWLW
Sets
Thursday, 3 September 2026 ·
hard
COURT 6 · 1st on
#299ATP
26 yrs · 191 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
WLWWWWLWWW
Simakin I.
vs
Dellavedova M.

Ilia Simakin faces Matthew Dellavedova in the Zhangjiagang round of 16 on hard. Ilia Simakin holds the paper edge — ranked #269. Recent hard form is closely matched.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 16:50 UTC
Simakin I.73%
Dellavedova M.27%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Simakin I. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

Common opponents

Last 12 months
No common opponents in the last 12 months.
Includes tour-level, 125s, qualifying and team events (⚑). Walkovers excluded. Describes past results in different contexts — not a prediction.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.6
Marginal edgeUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
6.0
Even matchUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
Form & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
7.27 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
5.35 of last 10 on hard
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

23 vs 13 matches

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Clear edge
62%
74%
1st serve points won·Clear edge
72%
57%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
52%
45%
Service points won·Slight edge
64%
53%
Return points won·Even
38%
38%
Break points saved·Clear edge
65%
43%
Aces / match·Dominant
6.9
2.3
Double faults / match·Dominant
2.8
0.5

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (23 vs 13). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Simakin I.serving83% hold

wins 65% of points on serve vs Dellavedova M.

Dellavedova M.serving64% hold

wins 56% of points on serve vs Simakin I.

Serve advantage — Simakin I.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
92
84

Simakin I.: 2 days rest · 1 match, 15 games (7d) · Dellavedova M.: 2 days rest · 1 match, 24 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

When it starts

1st on COURT 6 · Starts At 11:00 · up next on court

  1. 1Simakin I. v Dellavedova M.This match
  2. 2Sultanov K. v Aguiard E.

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather forecast
28°CDrizzle
Wind 20 km/hHumidity 81%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Draw